If you are warehousing some GSM numbers just to enjoy the tinkle of the new arriviste who carry mobile phones in a carry on bag or have that SIM that hasn’t been used for over six months, just be informed that the industry is raising questions and may sooner retrieve those lines or that line. There are strong indications that the mobile operators will start recycling numbers very soon.
The reasons for this, according to industry sources, are numerous but this two may just point you in the right direction. Numbers are a scarce resource and operators need to be able to account for every number secured from the regulator, the Nigerian Communications Commission (NCC). There is also the need for the regulator to have accurate figures of how many lines are actually out there as the subscriber base for the country.
A source which spoke to Mobile Week last week explained that although the three frontline mobile operators, MTN, Glo and Celtel recently applied for a new set of numbers from the regulator, the truth is that some of them are yet to exhaust the first set of numbers which they got from the NCC when the industry opened up in 2001.
A block is 10 million lines. Were the three operators to exhaust their first block that would mean 30 million subscriber base for the country. But that is not the case at the moment as the mobile subscriber base hovers between 21million and 24 million lines depending upon the source of the information.
The decision by operators to retrieve dormant numbers may help correct this to some extent. But more than anything it will help stem the loss of revenue on the part of the operators who have to pay renewal fees for all the allocated lines. It means, therefore, that for any line on which income was not being earned, the operator would lose money. Why would an operator need to pay for numbers? The NCC wants to generate revenue and also ensure discipline in the use of the numbers by operators.
Said our source: “Operators pay renewal fees for allocated numbers. For the NCC in allocating the numbers wants to ensure that the numbers are prudently used.
Interestingly, most operators are widening their validity window which makes it possible for a customer to remain on the network, even if that customer is not making calls for months.
What then is the subscriber base of a network? Our source, giving a definition informed by activities on a particular net work, explained that subscriber base doesn’t mean the number of SIMS sold or how many SIMS have ever been used on the network but the number of lines active in a 90day window.
What then will happen to the lines that don’t come to life within this period? Our source explained that depending on the network, the lines may first be quarantined for a time before being recycled or sold out to a new subscriber. The quarantine period may just be a holding period within which to confirm whether the subscriber will put life back on the phone.
Also speaking on why it is difficult to actually know the number of mobile lines within the country, our source explained that while some people carry about three phones, some visitors to the country on arrival just buy a line which they discard immediately on departure.
But even then the source remarked that the regulator has done a great job tracking most of the lines in use through monthly reports from the operators, and added that of late the regulator is adopting the best global practices by asking more questions whenever such reports were submitted.
At the moment, Nigeria still maintains the record as the fastest growing market in Africa and third fastest in the world. It is a market that operators want to be. The coming of Celtel by swallowing up Vmobile speaks volume in this direction. But those doing business in the sector are beginning to look inwards by way of plugging every avenue of waste. The first move it seems is to put life back in all the dormant lines across the various networks either through reactivation by their owners or by being sold to a new subscriber.
Source- http://allafrica.com